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File 05

Electoral record

Eleven contests, counted

Every election he is recorded as contesting, from Jalesar in 1996 to Agra in 2024. Vote counts come from the Election Commission of India’s statistical reports and result pages. Where the Commission did not print a vote share, it has been calculated from the Commission’s own counts and marked as such.

Lok Sabha
9 contests · 5 won
UP Assembly
2 contests · 1 won
Rajya Sabha
1 term, 2010–2014 (elected by the state legislature)

Summary

All results at a glance

Sources: Election Commission of India (archived reports and result pages, linked below each contest). The November 2009 by-election is listed without vote counts because the Commission’s document could not be retrieved.
YearSeatPartyVotesMarginResult
2024Agra (SC) · LSBJP599,397+271,294Won
2022Karhal · UP AssemblyBJP80,692−67,504Lost
2019Agra (SC) · LSBJP646,875+211,546Won
2017Tundla (SC) · UP AssemblyBJP118,584+56,070Won
2014Firozabad · LSBJP420,524−114,059Lost
2009 (Nov)Firozabad · LS by-electionBSP3rd placeLost
2009Firozabad · LSBSP219,710−67,301Lost
2004Jalesar · LSSP287,091+106,068Won
1999Jalesar · LSSP217,336+8,062Won
1998Jalesar · LSSP265,505+2,734Won
1996Jalesar · LSBSP155,047−39,375Lost
Satyapal Singh Baghel addressing a meeting from a flower-decorated dais with a Hindi banner behind him
Plate 5.1Addressing a meeting from the dais. The Hindi banner behind him refers to a gathering of voters.
§ Reading the numbers

Margins are the difference between his votes and those of the winner or runner-up. They are calculated from the Commission’s counts.

What the record shows

Margins widened with each Jalesar win. The 1998 victory was the narrowest of his career, 2,734 votes, or 0.41 percentage points. By 2004 the margin was 106,068.

His vote rose even in defeat. In Firozabad his total grew from 219,710 in 2009, as the BSP candidate, to 420,524 in 2014, as the BJP candidate, though he lost both times.

Agra delivered the largest results. Both Agra contests produced an outright majority of the votes cast: 56.48% in 2019 and 53.34% in 2024. The 2024 margin of 271,294 is the largest of his career.

Three defeats against one political family. He lost to Akhilesh Yadav in Firozabad in 2009 and in Karhal in 2022, and to Akshay Yadav in Firozabad in 2014.

Contest by contest

The detailed results

The top three candidates in each contest, with his result highlighted in copper.

2024 Agra (SC) Lok Sabha · PC 18 · BJP Won
599,397His votes
53.34%Vote share
271,294Winning margin

Largest margin and second-highest vote share of his career. His fifth Lok Sabha term. Total votes 1,123,779 (including NOTA 7,014).

Source: Election Commission of India, 2024 (archived).

2022 Karhal UP Assembly · AC 110, Mainpuri · BJP Lost
80,692His votes
32.74%Vote share
−67,504Behind the winner

Contested while serving as a Union Minister of State, against Samajwadi Party president Akhilesh Yadav. Total votes 246,498.

Source: Election Commission of India, 2022 (archived).

2019 Agra (SC) Lok Sabha · PC 18 · BJP Won
646,875His votes
56.48%Vote share
211,546Winning margin

His first contest in Agra. The highest vote share of his career. Total votes 1,145,323 on the ECI results page (including NOTA 5,817).

Source: Election Commission of India, 2019 (archived).

2017 Tundla (SC) UP Assembly · AC 95, Firozabad · BJP Won
118,584His votes
48.68%Vote share*
56,070Winning margin

Won the seat and joined the Uttar Pradesh cabinet. He resigned it after his election to the Lok Sabha in 2019. Total votes 243,591 (including NOTA 1,381).

Source: Election Commission of India, 2017 (archived). *Share calculated from ECI vote counts.

2014 Firozabad Lok Sabha · BJP Lost
420,524His votes
38.07%Vote share*
−114,059Behind the winner

His first contest as a BJP candidate. Candidate total 1,104,606.

Source: Election Commission of India, 2014 (archived). *Share calculated from ECI vote counts.

2009 Firozabad Lok Sabha · PC 20 · BSP Lost
219,710His votes
32.08%Vote share*
−67,301Behind the winner

He contested the November 2009 by-election for the same seat, again for the BSP, and finished third. Raj Babbar (INC) won. Total votes 684,904; turnout 48.16%.

Source: Election Commission of India, 2009 (archived). *Share calculated from ECI vote counts.

2004 Jalesar Lok Sabha · PC 66 · SP Won
287,091His votes
44.14%Vote share*
106,068Winning margin

His third consecutive win in Jalesar, and his largest margin until 2019. Total votes 650,356.

Source: Election Commission of India, 2004 (archived). *Share calculated from ECI vote counts.

1999 Jalesar Lok Sabha · SP Won
217,336His votes
32.85%Vote share
8,062Winning margin

Re-elected when the 12th Lok Sabha was dissolved after thirteen months. Electors 1,122,770; turnout 60.41%.

Source: Election Commission of India, 1999 (archived).

1998 Jalesar Lok Sabha · PC 70 · SP Won
265,505His votes
39.67%Vote share
2,734Winning margin

His first election win, and the narrowest of his career. Electors 1,108,249; turnout 61.53%.

Source: Election Commission of India, 1998 (archived).

1996 Jalesar Lok Sabha · BSP Lost
155,047His votes
29.52%Vote share
−39,375Behind the winner

His first recorded contest.

Source: Election Commission of India, 1996 (archived).